Josh Richardson Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 2:54 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-132/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Richardson has compiled 3.0 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the hottest players in the league by this standard in recent days: 79th percentile.
The Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Lakers).
Over the last 20 games, the other team has captured 9.9 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers (reducing possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 3rdworst in in the league as the road team with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Josh Richardson is expected to suffer a reduction in productivity across the board due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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