Josh Richardson Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 12:05 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Richardson has tallied 2.9 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the league's hottest by this metric over this stretch: 78th percentile.
The Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Magic).
This year when they are away from home, their opposition has grabbed 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in additional chances for offense).

Favors Under

Josh Richardson has been called for 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA as the road team this year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Josh Richardson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player production in all facets of the game.

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