Josh Richardson Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Richardson has tallied 3.0 assists per game this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's hottest in this category over this stretch.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have come down with 9.3 offensive boards per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).
Josh Richardson is expected to get a boost in efficiency in all facets of the game due to enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Josh Richardson has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (94th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games.
The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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