Josh Richardson Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Richardson has totaled 3.1 assists per game this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category in recent days.
The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.
Josh Richardson ought to see a spike in productivity in all stat categories as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Josh Richardson has averaged 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Bulls have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Chicago Bulls have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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