Josh Richardson Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Richardson has averaged 4.0 assists per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.
Compared to last season's 23.0 clip, Josh Richardson's playing time has surged this season to 27.3 minutes per game.
The Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.
Josh Richardson stands to get a boost in production in all facets of the game as a result of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 9th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Cavaliers).
The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting team, their opposition has collected 11.5 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Cavaliers (saving possessions that can generate more opportunities for offense).

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