Josh Richardson Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2023

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 28, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 12:57 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Richardson has averaged 2.9 assists per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- among the best in the league by this metric.
The Heat will likely get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 3rd-most up-tempo pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
Josh Richardson will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to improve player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Josh Richardson rates in the 76th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a colossal 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 6thworst in in the NBA at home with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, opposing clubs have brought down 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Bucks (continuing possessions that can result in more chances for offense).

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