Josh Richardson Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/11/2023

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat · Nov 11, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 3:57 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 9th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.
The Heat will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 2nd-speediest pace home team in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks).

Favors Under

Josh Richardson has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (81st percentile).
The Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has collected 11.3 offensive boards per game (9th-most in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks (preserving possessions that can spark more opportunities for offense).
Josh Richardson will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to reduce player production for all stats.

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