Josh Okogie Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 10/24/2023

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Josh Okogie

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns · Oct 24, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 2:05 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+103/-133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Okogie has averaged an impressive 1.8 defensive boards per game this season, significantly more than his 0.8 defensive boards per game last season.
Relative to his full-year mark of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1) minutes per home game, Josh Okogie's rate of playing time has spiked by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) minutes over the last 15 games on his home court.
The Suns are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Golden State Warriors).
The Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.
This year when they are on the road, their opposition has captured 10.8 offensive rebounds per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors (retaining possessions that can create more opportunities for offense).
Josh Okogie stands to suffer a reduction in production in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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