Josh Okogie Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2023

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Josh Okogie

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · May 11, 2023

Updated May 12, 2023 2:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Okogie has put up a terrific 1.8 defensive rebounds per game this year, a big improvement over his 0.8 defensive rebounds per game last year.
Josh Okogie has been on the court for 23.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games on his home court, 5.8 more than he's been on the court for overall this season at home.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Okogie will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increases player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Suns.
While playing on the road, the Nuggets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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