Josh Okogie Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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Josh Okogie

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Okogie has averaged 1.5 offensive rebounds per game this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- among the league leaders in this category recently.
Josh Okogie has averaged 26.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 8.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The Thunder have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games on their home court, which should lead to increased plays for the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Josh Okogie has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.8 more than he's averaged overall this year on the road.
The Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Josh Okogie will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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