Josh Okogie Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Josh Okogie

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 2:33 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Okogie has compiled 1.5 offensive rebounds per game this year at home, placing him among the hottest players in the league by this standard in recent days: 84th percentile.
Josh Okogie has been on the court for 31.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 13.8 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year at home.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Josh Okogie will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to improves player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Suns.
Away from home, the Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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