Josh Okogie Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2023

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Josh Okogie

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 26, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 5:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Okogie has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 22nd percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to more plays for the Suns.
The Bucks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Josh Okogie has totaled 0.8 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him among the worst players in the NBA in this category: 12th percentile.
Josh Okogie has played 9.7 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 16th percentile -- some of the lowest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Okogie will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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