Josh Okogie Points - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2024

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Josh Okogie

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Orlando Magic · Nov 18, 2024

Updated Nov 19, 2024 1:54 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Josh Okogie ranks in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, registering a mere 1.2 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The matchup against Orlando is a good one; when the Orlando Magic are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs this year (18.9).
The Phoenix Suns will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from facing the 4th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 14 games (the Magic).
The Phoenix Suns have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 4.7 free throws per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Josh Okogie ranks in the 21st percentile for shots from the field converted, averaging only 1.6 per game since the start of last season.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
Josh Okogie has converted 69.0% of his foul shots since the start of last season, placing him in the 23rd percentile among all players in the league.

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