Josh Okogie Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 15, 2024

Updated Nov 16, 2024 1:08 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Josh Okogie places in the 88th percentile for 3-point proficiency while playing away from home with a remarkable 40.7% rate since the start of last season.
Among all players in the league, Josh Okogie slots into the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, compiling a lowly 1.2 fouls per game since the start of last season.
With respect to scoring, the Phoenix Suns's impressive 115.8 points per game away from their home court measures as the 9th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.
The matchup vs. Oklahoma may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Thunder are at home (7th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Josh Okogie has successfully made 1.6 field goals per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 20th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a tough one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have posted the 2nd-lowest three rate in the league this year (25.5%).
The Suns have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA as the visting team this year.
The Suns have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Josh Okogie will likely experience a decrease in productivity in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this game.