Josh Okogie Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Josh Okogie

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 26, 2023 3:38 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This matchup is a tough one for three-pointers; their opposition has compiled the 6th-lowest 3-point rate in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road (35.3%).
The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a tough one for drawing fouls; their opposition has attempted a measly 21.3 foul shots per game this year (7th-least in the NBA).
Josh Okogie will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to boost player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Josh Okogie comes in at the 21st percentile for scoring prowess at home with a a lackluster 38.2% rate this year.
Josh Okogie has sunk 24.6% of his three-pointers when playing at home this year, placing him in the 19th percentile among all players in the league.
Josh Okogie has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's accumulated overall this season.
The Suns have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when it comes to three-point attempts.
The 2nd-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Phoenix Suns.

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