Josh Okogie Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 2:09 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Okogie has converted 53.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 17.0% more than he's converted overall this year while on the road.
Josh Okogie has averaged 1.3 personal fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 22nd percentile -- among the league's least-whistled.
In terms of scoring, the Phoenix Suns's excellent 116.2 points per game as the road team measures as the 9th-highest in the NBA this year.
The Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 9 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
This year when they are away from home, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Memphis is a hard one; when the Grizzlies have the home court advantage, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs since the start of last season (12.6).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 6thworst in in the league while playing away from home with a mere 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.1 foul shots per game (14th-fewest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.