Josh Okogie Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2023

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Josh Okogie

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 1, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 4:03 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Josh Okogie lands in the 16th percentile for personal fouls, logging a mere 1.2 fouls per game while at home this year.
The Suns have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
Without the home court advantage, the Denver Nuggets have allowed the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Relative to last season's 1.8 clip, Josh Okogie's free throws hit have jumped this season to 2.9 per game.
Josh Okogie stands to get a boost in performance in all facets of the game on account of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Josh Okogie comes in at the 12th percentile for field goal proficiency with a a lackluster 37.0% rate this year.
The slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Phoenix Suns are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the 5th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns rank 7thworst in in the NBA on their home court with just 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are at home, their opposition has attempted 25.0 free throws per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

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