Josh Okogie Points - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2023

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Josh Okogie

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

New York Knicks vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 26, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 11:13 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Okogie has successfully made 41.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 13.1% more than he's made from three over the course of the season away from home.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
At home, the Knicks have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.1) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In regard to three-point attempts, the 7th-least aggressive team in the NBA with the home court advantage over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The matchup vs. the Knicks is a hard one for scoring; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 12th-least baskets per game in the NBA this year (4.0).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
The New York Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which should decrease possessions for the Suns.
Josh Okogie has successfully made a mere 63.3% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit lower than his 74.3 rate last year.

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