Josh Okogie Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 10:18 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Okogie has made 66.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 37.8% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season while on the road.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the league while traveling this year, which should boost possessions for the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the least offensive boards per game (7.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Relative to last year's 70.8% mark, Josh Okogie's foul-shot ability has risen this year to 82.1%.

Favors Under

Josh Okogie has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.
This matchup is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Grizzlies have the home court advantage, opposing squads have averaged the most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league against them this year (15.4).
The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
This year, the other team has attempted 25.0 foul shots per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, finding it easy to get to the foul line.
Josh Okogie stands to suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats as a result of playing away from hom in this game.