Josh Okogie Points - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2023

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Josh Okogie

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 5, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:52 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 6 games when playing at home.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Suns.
The Suns rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Josh Okogie has made 36.0% of his shot attempts from the field since the start of last season, placing him in the 7th percentile among all players in the league.
Josh Okogie has converted 24.8% of his three-point attempts on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 17th percentile among all players in the league.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while at home since the start of last season.
The Detroit Pistons have given up the 8th-most offensive boards per game (10.9) in the NBA to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; when the Detroit Pistons are away from home, the other team has attempted a monstrous 26.4 foul shots per game since the start of last season (most in the league).

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