Josh Okogie Points - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2023

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 2, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 2:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league away from their home city this year, which should boost plays for the Suns.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 9thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 11.5 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, opposing teams have collected 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) against the Spurs (diminishing possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).
Josh Okogie stands to see an increase in production across the board on account of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Josh Okogie has made 36.6% of his shot attempts from the field since the start of last season, ranking in the 9th percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Josh Okogie places in the 24th percentile for 3-point performance when playing at home with a a subpar 26.5% rate since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have totaled 10.3 field goal attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Spurs, branding this as a tough matchup.
As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls playing at home: 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season, drawing a measly 21.9 foul shots per game.
The matchup vs. the Spurs is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.3 free throws per game since the start of last season (14th-least in the league).