Josh Okogie Points - Player Prop Bet 10/31/2023

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Josh Okogie

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs · Oct 31, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 1:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

While on their home court, the San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to the other team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Josh Okogie will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increases stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Josh Okogie has successfully made 36.7% of his shot attempts from the field at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 9th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Josh Okogie has successfully made 26.6% of his 3-point attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 23rd percentile among all players in the league.
The matchup vs. San Antonio is a challenging one for field goal attempts; when the Spurs are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 15th-least FG attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (10.3).
In regard to getting to the foul line, the Phoenix Suns's feeble 21.9 foul shots per game while playing away from home rates 6th-worst in the league since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) against the Spurs, struggling to get to the foul line.

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