Josh Okogie Points - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2023

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Josh Okogie

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · May 11, 2023

Updated May 12, 2023 1:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-101/-128).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Okogie has been on the court for 23.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games on his home court, 5.8 more than he's been on the court for overall this season at home.
The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for three-pointers; opposing clubs have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (34.2%).
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Okogie has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 33.2% more than he's made over the course of the year while on his home court.
Josh Okogie will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increases player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Josh Okogie has converted 35.3% of his shots from the field while on his home court this year, putting him in the 11th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the league while on their home court this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Suns.
While playing on the road, the Nuggets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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