Josh Okogie Points - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2023

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Josh Okogie

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns · May 9, 2023

Updated May 9, 2023 10:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Phoenix Suns have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Nuggets have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted just 17.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets have the home court advantage (2nd-least in the league).

Favors Under

This matchup is a favorable one for shots from the field; opposing clubs have posted the 7th-highest Field Goal% in the league over the last 5 games (49.8%).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Suns.
As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been bad at drawing fouls on the road: 4th-worst in the league this year, averaging a measly 20.9 foul shots per game.

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