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Josh Okogie

Josh Okogie Points
Player Prop - 5/7/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Josh Okogie has been on the court for 24.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games playing at home, 6.7 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year at home.

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Josh Okogie has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 28.8% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Josh Okogie will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Josh Okogie has sunk 35.2% of his field goal attempts while playing at home this year, ranking in the 12th percentile among all players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. Denver is a challenging one for three-point attempts; when the Nuggets are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.0).

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Suns.

Without the home court advantage, the Nuggets have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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