Josh Okogie Points - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 29, 2023

Updated Apr 30, 2023 12:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Okogie has converted a terrific 2.2 baskets per game this year, a significant increase from his 0.8 mark last year.
Josh Okogie has attempted 3.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games away from his home court, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.
Josh Okogie has played 26.4 minutes per game over the last 15 games when playing on the road, 7.6 more than he's played over the course of the season on the road.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Okogie has attempted 4.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 2.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a tough one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least shot attempts per game in the league this year (10.8).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Suns.
The Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been lousy at getting to the foul line: 6th-worst in the league this year, tallying a lowly 22.1 foul shot attempts per game.