Josh Okogie Points - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2023

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

LA Clippers vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 20, 2023

Updated Apr 21, 2023 2:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Okogie has converted a terrific 2.2 buckets per game this season, significantly more than his 0.8 mark last season.
Josh Okogie has attempted 4.1 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games when playing on the road, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road.
Josh Okogie has played 25.3 minutes per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 6.7 more than he's played over the course of the year on the road.
This matchup is a challenging one for shot attempts from the field; when the Clippers are at home, opposing clubs have tallied the 9th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (87.0).
The Phoenix Suns have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA when playing away from home this year.
The Clippers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Suns.
On their home court, the Clippers have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been poor at getting to the free throw line away from their home court: 4th-worst in the league this year, tallying a lowly 20.6 foul shots per game.
Josh Okogie will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.