Josh Okogie Points - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs LA Clippers · Apr 16, 2023

Updated Apr 16, 2023 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Okogie has attempted 8.4 shots per game over the last 15 games while at home, 2.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.
Josh Okogie has converted 1.7 3-pointers per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.7 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year playing at home.
Josh Okogie has averaged 27.0 minutes per game over the last 15 games at home, 9.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
The matchup vs. the Clippers is a tough one for 3-point attempts; opposing teams have averaged the 2nd-least 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games (29.6).
The Phoenix Suns have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.
The Clippers have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Suns.
The Clippers have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; opposing clubs have attempted a whopping 24.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the NBA).