Josh Okogie Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:53 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Okogie has attempted 8.1 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Josh Okogie has successfully made 1.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from three in all games this season.
Josh Okogie has averaged 26.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 8.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 28th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.6).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Luguentz Dort is a hard one for scoring; when guarding fellow starting SFs this year, they have successfully made a lowly 43.0% of their shot attempts from the field (7th percentile).
The Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been bad at getting to the foul line: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, tallying just 21.6 free throw attempts per game.
This matchup may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; when the Thunder have the home court advantage, opposing squads have attempted a colossal 27.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (3rd-most in the NBA).
Josh Okogie will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually lowers stat production in all stat categories.