Josh Okogie Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Josh Okogie

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Okogie has made 73.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 41.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Josh Okogie has converted 36.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 10.3% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year.
Josh Okogie has tallied 1.1 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 22nd percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Bulls is a good one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 27th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.7).

Favors Under

Josh Okogie has played 9.7 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 16th percentile -- riding the bench far more than most players in the NBA.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Okogie will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lowers player production for all stats.

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