Josh Okogie Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2023

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Josh Okogie

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 26, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Okogie has successfully made 73.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 41.1% more than he's converted overall this season.
Josh Okogie has converted 36.1% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 10.3% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season.
Josh Okogie has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 22nd percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to more plays for the Suns.

Favors Under

Josh Okogie has played 9.7 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 16th percentile -- some of the lowest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The matchup against Milwaukee is a challenging one for shots from the field; when the Bucks are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have posted the 13th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (38.9%).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Okogie will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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