Josh Okogie Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 24, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 3:07 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Okogie has made 73.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 41.1% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
Josh Okogie has made 36.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 10.3% higher than he's made from three in all games this season.
Josh Okogie has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least least-whistled players in the league (19th percentile).
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a strong one for threes; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.2).
The Thunder have played at the 7th-quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Suns.

Favors Under

Josh Okogie has played 13.7 minutes per game while playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 20th percentile -- seeing the court far less than most players in the NBA.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Away from their home court, the Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line: 4th-worst in the NBA this year, tallying a mere 21.5 free throw attempts per game.
The matchup against Oklahoma is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.7 free throws per game this year when the Thunder are the visiting squad (15th-least in the league).