Josh Okogie Points - Player Prop Bet 2/16/2023

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Josh Okogie

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs LA Clippers · Feb 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Okogie has scored 13.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 more than he's scored over the course of the year.
Josh Okogie has sunk 43.1% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 17.4% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. Kawhi Leonard is a good one for attempts from beyond the arc; when Leonard is on the road and defending fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted an enormous 5.9 3-pointers per game (100th percentile).
The Phoenix Suns have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Okogie has attempted 4.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Favors Under

Josh Okogie has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Clippers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Suns.
The matchup vs. Kawhi Leonard is a difficult one for drawing fouls; when squaring off against opposing starting SFs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.4 foul shots per game (17th percentile).

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