Josh Okogie Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2023

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Josh Okogie

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 14, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Okogie has made 40.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 16.3% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year.
The matchup vs. Harrison Barnes is a strong one for shots from the field; when squaring off against opposing starting SFs this year, they have successfully made a monstrous 6.7 buckets per game (100th percentile).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 7 games when playing at home.
The Kings have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Josh Okogie has sunk 36.1% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking in the 9th percentile out of all players in the league.
Josh Okogie has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.

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