Josh Okogie Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2023

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Josh Okogie

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Okogie has converted a terrific 37.8% of his field goals this year, significantly higher than his 32.1 rate last year.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year while playing away from home (which also produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Suns have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Grizzlies.
The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a good one for shots from the field; their opposition have compiled the highest FG% in the league this year (44.5%).

Favors Under

Josh Okogie has converted 23.2% of his treys when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
While playing at home, the Grizzlies have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been poor at drawing fouls away from their home court: worst in the NBA this year, averaging a lowly 18.6 free throw attempts per game.
Josh Okogie will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally worsens player performance for all stats.

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