Josh Okogie Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2023

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Josh Okogie

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Okogie has sunk 58.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 21.0% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Josh Okogie has attempted 2.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year when playing away from home (which can also create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (which also create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Josh Okogie has successfully made a mere 14.9% of his three-pointers this season, quite a bit lower than his 25.8 mark last season.
Josh Okogie has been on the court for 12.8 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 23rd percentile -- riding the bench far more than most players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one for scoring; their opposition have put up the 6th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (48.2%).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been lousy at drawing fouls while playing away from home: worst in the league this year, totaling a lowly 18.5 free throws per game.

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