Josh Okogie Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2023

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Josh Okogie

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Made 3 Point Shots

Phoenix Suns vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 21, 2023

Updated Nov 22, 2023 2:17 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+135/-175).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Okogie has committed 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least foul-prone players in the league (15th percentile).
With respect to threes, the Phoenix Suns's excellent 39.2% rate of converted threes while on the road comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA this year.
This matchup is a challenging one for three-point shots; when the Portland Trail Blazers are playing at home, opposing clubs have averaged the 2nd-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league against them this year (10.0).
Josh Okogie is expected to see a spike in output for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Josh Okogie has made a mere 20.8% of his three-point attempts this season, a sizeable decrease from his 27.4 rate last season.
The 5th-least up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
On their home court, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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