Josh Okogie Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2023

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Josh Okogie

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Made 3 Point Shots

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 1:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-215/+175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -210 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -215.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Okogie has sunk 2.1 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.1 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year with the home court advantage.
Josh Okogie has tallied 29.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games while at home, 11.9 more than he's tallied overall this season at home.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Okogie will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to improves player production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns have been the 5th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of three-point attempts.
The matchup against the Nuggets is a challenging one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league over the last 25 games (3.6).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Suns.

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