Josh Okogie Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Made 3 Point Shots

Chicago Bulls vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 3:41 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-180).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Okogie has converted 36.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 10.3% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year.
Josh Okogie has tallied 1.1 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 22nd percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
The Bulls have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Suns.
At home, the Bulls have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Josh Okogie has played 9.7 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 16th percentile -- riding the bench far more than most players in the NBA.
The matchup against Chicago is a tough one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 11th-least three attempts per game in the league over the last 15 games when the Bulls are at home (4.1).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Okogie will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lowers player production for all stats.