Josh Okogie Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2023

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Josh Okogie

NBA · Player Props

Josh Okogie

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 1, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 2:57 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Okogie Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Josh Okogie lands in the 16th percentile for personal fouls, logging a mere 1.2 fouls per game while at home this year.
Without the home court advantage, the Denver Nuggets have allowed the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Okogie stands to get a boost in performance in all facets of the game on account of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Josh Okogie has totaled just 0.8 assists per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 1.5 assists per game last season.
The slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Phoenix Suns are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the 5th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns rank 7thworst in in the NBA on their home court with just 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.

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