Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 5/25/2025

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks · May 25, 2025

Updated May 26, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has put up 17.6 points per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 3.5 more than he's put up over the course of the year on the road.
Josh Hart has converted 51.9% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 16.1% higher than he's converted from three overall this year when playing away from home.
Josh Hart has tallied 37.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 100th percentile.
The Knicks will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Indiana Pacers).
The Knicks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Josh Hart has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
The Knicks have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to shot attempts from downtown.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 2.9 three attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, designating this as a tough matchup.
The New York Knicks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league while playing on the road this year.
Josh Hart will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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