Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 5/7/2025

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks · May 7, 2025

Updated May 8, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has sunk a terrific 52.4% of his shots from the field this season, a sizeable increase from his 41.6 rate last season.
Josh Hart has sunk 56.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games on the road, 21.0% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year away from his home court.
Out of all players in the league, Josh Hart comes in at the 100th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 37.7 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).
The Knicks rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Knicks.
The Knicks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Knicks.
The matchup against Boston may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Boston Celtics are at home (4th-least in the NBA).
Josh Hart figures to suffer a drop-off in production across the board in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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