Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2025

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks · May 1, 2025

Updated May 1, 2025 11:33 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has sunk a terrific 52.3% of his shot attempts from the field this year, a big improvement over his 41.6 mark last year.
Josh Hart has converted 47.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 13.1% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
Among all players in the league, Josh Hart rates in the 100th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 37.6 minutes per game this year.
Over the last 16 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 19.5 points per game (highest in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, making this a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to boost opportunities for the New York Knicks.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Josh Hart places in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game on the road this year.
The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.
The Knicks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league without the home court advantage this year.
Josh Hart will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually worsens player production across the board.

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