Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 4/19/2025

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Detroit Pistons · Apr 19, 2025

Updated Apr 20, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 41.6% clip, Josh Hart's shooting performance has risen this year to 52.7%.
Among all players in the league, Josh Hart places in the 99th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 36.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have shot 45.0% on three-pointers (4th-highest in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, branding this as a positive matchup.
The Pistons have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should boost possessions for the New York Knicks.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New York Knicks rank 10th-best in in the league on their home court with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Josh Hart has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.0 higher than he's committed overall this year at home.
The Knicks check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the New York Knicks.
Josh Hart has sunk 65.4% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 10.9% less than he's made in all games this year.

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