Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2025

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs New York Knicks · Mar 28, 2025

Updated Mar 29, 2025 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-122/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -107 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 41.6% rate, Josh Hart's scoring proficiency has risen this season to 53.1%.
Josh Hart has converted 1.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 higher than he's made from three over the course of the season while playing on the road.
Josh Hart has tallied 37.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 100th percentile.
Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 19.8 points per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Bucks, identifying this as a strong matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Knicks are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from competing against the 6th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Josh Hart rates in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game this year.
The 2nd-least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA this year has been the Knicks.
When it comes to getting to the foul line, the New York Knicks's poor 20.2 foul shots per game when playing on the road comes in as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.
Josh Hart figures to suffer a drop-off in productivity across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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