Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2025

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 25, 2025

Updated Mar 25, 2025 11:29 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 3.8 mark, Josh Hart's field goals sunk have jumped this season to 5.3 per game.
Out of all players in the NBA, Josh Hart measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 36.8 minutes per game at home this year.
The New York Knicks are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the 5th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks rank 4th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Josh Hart has sunk 2.1 free throws per game this year, ranking in the 78th percentile among all players in the league.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Josh Hart ranks in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
The New York Knicks rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home as it relates to 3-point attempts.
Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 11.4 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, identifying this as a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Knicks have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the league this year.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

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