Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2025

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

LA Clippers vs New York Knicks · Mar 7, 2025

Updated Mar 8, 2025 4:35 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-129/-104).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 41.6% clip, Josh Hart's field goal ability has increased this season to 55.1%.
Josh Hart has played 37.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 100th percentile.
The matchup against the LA Clippers is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 7th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.3).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out 7th-best in in the NBA while playing on the road with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Josh Hart has attempted 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 2.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.

Favors Under

Josh Hart has made 20.8% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 11.6% less than he's sunk overall this year.
The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league when playing away from home this year.
The New York Knicks will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the LA Clippers).
As a team, the New York Knicks have been lousy at drawing fouls when playing on the road: 6th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a mere 20.3 foul shots per game.
The matchup against Los Angeles may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 0.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the LA Clippers are on their home court (2nd-least in the NBA).

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