Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2025

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 4, 2025

Updated Mar 5, 2025 12:19 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has converted 7.0 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
Josh Hart has tallied 37.2 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Knicks rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a favorable one for three-pointers; opposing starting SFs have posted the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (47.0%).
The New York Knicks have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games at home.

Favors Under

Josh Hart has sunk 20.2% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 12.8% lower than he's converted from three over the course of the year.
The Knicks have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, making it tough to draw fouls.

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