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Josh Hart

Josh Hart Points
Player Prop - 3/2/2025

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Josh Hart has successfully made an impressive 55.9% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a big improvement over his 41.6 mark last season.

Among all players in the NBA, Josh Hart places in the 100th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 37.7 minutes per game this year.

This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, making this a positive matchup.

The rate of shots from behind the three-point arc drained against Alec Burks has been quite high (38.6%) when squaring off against fellow starting SFs this year (86th percentile).

The New York Knicks have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Josh Hart has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated overall this season.

In terms of three-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Knicks.

The Knicks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA while on the road this year.

The New York Knicks will likely see a decline in opportunities today from facing the slowest tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).

Josh Hart will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

More Josh Hart Player Props

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