Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2025

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks · Feb 11, 2025

Updated Feb 12, 2025 12:18 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 41.6% clip, Josh Hart's shooting proficiency has surged this year to 56.3%.
Josh Hart has played 37.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 100th percentile.
The Knicks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Pacers).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Knicks rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 4.0 foul shots per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Josh Hart has shot and missed 3.0 attempts from beyond the arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 higher than he's failed to convert from 3-point range overall this season while playing away from home.
Josh Hart has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The matchup against the Pacers is a challenging one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (2.9).
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA as the visting team this year.
As a team, the New York Knicks have been poor at drawing fouls as the visting team: 10th-worst in the league this year, averaging a lowly 20.5 free throw attempts per game.

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